Monday, November 11, 2019

Maharashtra Politics - Is it end of Sena in Maharashtra

With the recent turmoil in the post poll political situation in Maharashtra, Shiv Sena literally showed all its tantrums that led to BJP deciding to step back from forming the government at state level.  Hell, no this is not the defeat of BJP or win-win situation for Congress, NCP & Shiv Sena for that matter.  BJP will still be very strong through the tenure that the newly wed coalition will perform (as I doubt that they would complete 5 years). 

With 102 seats in the State Assembly, BJP that fought on 120+ seats is still comfortably the largest party in the state assembly followed by NCP, Shiv Sena and Congress for that matter.  The ambition of Shiv Sena to lead the government with Chief Minister being a Shiv Sainik will do nothing good to the overall agenda of Shiv Sena.  the ideologies of the three parties are totally different and they don't match anywhere.  This in a way will pave the way for the three parties towards suicidal march that only NCP might be able to thwart.

The coalition dharma would vanish within first 6 months and infightings on ideology would start. We would see that the CM from Shiv Sena might not be able to perform as other major positions would be held by NCP while my take on Congress would be of outside support.  This is where BJP would have its fun at the price of this coalition of jokers.

It is already interesting that Ajit Pawar who is touted as the Deputy Chief Minister is already under ED and CBI lens, please search it on the net and you would get good enough reasons for that.  This means in a way Ajit Pawar would be under there radar anyways and that might create additional pressure on the Government footed by the coalition.

In short, the overall coalition would be something that is bound to fail and provide better situation for BJP in the forthcoming elections in 2024 where Maharashtra would pave the way for strengthening BJPs overall score in the LS as well as RS for that matter.